Lessons Learned: Pricing
By Frank Demmler
Some of the themes throughout this series of articles have
been:
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Cash is king. Absence of cash is death.
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Gross margin is good. More gross margin is better.
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Gross margin is the best source of growth capital.
Perhaps not explicitly stated, but implied, the value of your
company is heavily influenced by:
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The quality of your earnings.
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The rate of growth of your earnings.
All of this leads us to focus on one particular aspect of your
business – pricing. Considering how important it is, you might anticipate
that I have sage advice for you. Surely with over twenty years in this arena,
and having participated in hundreds of pricing decisions, I must know the
answer.
I only wish that were so. What follow are some pricing decisions
that didnÕt quite work out as intended.
Case Study #1: The Inconsequential Add-On
An engineering software company developed and sold a package
that added utility to the workstation for which it was intended. At the time, that fully loaded workstation
cost about $35,000. We priced our product at $3,400.
The rationale for this was two fold.
First, we sold the product through value-added resellers
(VARs), and we gave them a 60% margin on our product compared to the
industry-standard at the time of 40%. An extra 20% of $3,400 was thought to be
a pretty enticing incentive.
Second, by pricing the product at less than 10% of the systemÕs
price, we believed that the VARS would be able to tack it on to a workstation
order, with an ÒOh, by the way, we suggest that you [the customer] add this
product to the order. It doesnÕt cost much compared to the system price, and
you will get more than your moneyÕs worth from its added functionality.Ó
Compelling logic. Severely flawed in the real world.
VARs want to close deals. VARs do not want to jeopardize a deal
that can close, by trying to ÒnibbleÓ a few more dollars from a customer. If a
VAR can close on a $35,000 order, he will do so.
Also, VARs rarely (never?) do missionary sales. This is when
something ÒnewÓ is introduced to the market that requires nurturing and
educating customers, with the time to close a sale measured in multiple months,
if not years. At the risk of
oversimplification (and the wrath of VARs everywhere), VARs like to take orders
from existing customers. That immediately puts money in their pockets.
Case Study #2: When Is a Sale not a Sale?
Same company. Same conundrum. How do we motivate VARs to sell
our product? Since there had been pushback on the price of $3,400, we decided
we needed to increase the financial incentives for the VAR without actually
lowering our MSRP, since we had deals in the pipeline at the stated price.
The answer? A limited-time six-for-five sale. We would give the
VAR six products for the price of five, effectively a 17% discount. Also, we
believed that if the VARs carried an inventory of our product, they would have
additional incentive to sell it.
Again, compelling logic, and this time product began to
move. Our sales were increasing on
a month-to-month basis for four consecutive months. There were notable sighs of
relief in the boardroom.
Then we started to notice an alarming trend. Our sales were growing, but our cash
was declining, and upon inspection, accounts receivable (money our customers
owed us) were increasing at an alarming rate.
What had happened was that the VARs saw a discount and took it,
but had no intention of paying the invoices until they had sold the product to
their customer (and in some cases, gotten paid by their customers). What we had
counted as sales, the VARS looked at as consignments. In effect, we had created
a rather expensive field-based inventory.
When this was all unraveled (and write-offs taken), less than
10% of the orders received during that time period were ÒrealÓ orders. The
remaining orders had been solely for the discount. While we were in the right
legally, since the VARs were in clear violation of the terms of the sale, what
were we to do? Sue our only customers? Not going to happen.
Case Study#3: Leaving Money on the Table
As youÕve seen, itÕs pretty amazing how a bunch of relatively
bright people, who have quite a bit at stake, can convince themselves of their
collective brilliance, and be so wrong.
I could continue along this path of self-flagellation, but I think you
get the point, and dredging up these memories is starting to get painful for
me.
I will now share a case study with you that started the same
way, but had a much better outcome.
Establishing the initial price
In past articles IÕve talked about Automated Healthcare (now
McKesson Automation), founded by Sean McDonald. The company was the pioneer in
selling barcode-reading robots to hospital pharmacies. Since this was a new
product in this space with few meaningful comparables from which to glean a
reasonable pricing strategy, the management team had to make it up as it went
along.
With that in mind, we had several objectives that at least
helped us frame out thoughts.
First, we would never sell a robot for less than what it cost us to make
it. That meant that our alpha
customers were going to have to agree to pay over $200,000 for something theyÕd
never seen before, and that they knew was going to be a work-in-process, but I
digress.
We also knew that the tipping point at which capital spending
decisions in hospitals received intense scrutiny, and thus even longer selling
cycles, was $500,000.
Further, we wanted to get $1 million of cash flow from each
robot transaction over five years, and that provided guidance for pricing our
maintenance contracts.
With those boundary conditions, we priced the two alpha
products at $240,000 each. The
initial beta product was priced at $320,000 and the last one, $430,000. The
list price of the robot was established at $472,900.
Customers were willing to pay that (often with great reluctance,
but pay they did, nonetheless). Our boundary conditions were met. We were happy and confident campers.
Changing the pricing strategy
About this time, we raised a significant amount of
institutional venture capital in a round led by two out-of-town investors. They
were much savvier about the ways of Wall Street than we (or so they claimed and
we believed, at the time). They insisted that the large dollar value of our
sales would likely make our quarter-to-quarter results relatively unpredictable,
and that that profile would depress the valuation that the financial markets
would give us at exit.
Therefore, Automated Healthcare shifted its entire pricing
strategy to doing leases exclusively. While revenue would ramp up more slowly,
and profitability on a GAAP accounting basis would be pushed back, this created
a recurring revenue model that would have predictability and could support
higher exit valuations.
Not wanting to get too far off track, the only way this could
work is if a financial company were willing to buy our leases, so that we could
get cash up front, even though we were recognizing the revenue over five years.
DonÕt let these details distract you.
We found such a finance company and we learned the art of
crafting leasing deals that qualified for being purchased. How did we price the leases, you may
ask? We took the $472,500 that we were getting from the sale of a robot,
applied the various leasing company discounts, etc., and reverse-engineered a
lease price that would yield us $494,000 in cash from the leasing company!
Note several things. We didnÕt really pay much attention to our
customers in doing all of this. We
used the few data points of purchases at $472,500 to assume that an
ÒequivalentÓ lease would be accepted.
Second, we got more upfront cash out of the leases than we did when we
sold the robots! [There were some short-term cash flow consequences of this
abrupt shift in strategy, but that is another story for another time.]
Setting a new sales price
In fact the leasing program was well received and we began
taking orders on that basis. What
we found, though, was that some hospitals needed a purchase option so that they
could prove that the lease was the way to go. We pulled out our handy-dandy
calculator, took our lease and calculated a sale price that clearly made the
lease the preferred option. That
price was $612,000, but we didnÕt really care since we werenÕt going to sell
the robot anyway.
The revelation!
As many of you know, one of the appeals of the leasing option
to a customer is that its expense can go through the normal operating budget
and avoid the scrutiny of the capital spending approval process, staying below
the radar screen so-to-speak. We found that some hospitals had found this
practice running rampant and had prohibited leases.
When we approached these clients, we explained that we only did
leases. They explained that they
were only allowed to make capital equipment purchases. They asked for the price of our robot,
and all we had to provide was that fictitious, reverse-engineered, ridiculous
selling price of $612,000, since we ÒknewÓ that the sensible and supportable
sales price was $472,900, based upon what we had been doing only months ago.
They bought the robot without batting an eye!
Where had we gone wrong? We had accepted the conventional
wisdom that we needed to keep the price under $500,000 in order to get through
the hospitalÕs purchase approval process. We never challenged that assumption.
Shame on us! We were leaving at least $140,000 on the table!
With that insight and the superior execution of the Automated
Healthcare team, the quality of our earnings made a significant contribution in
justifying a $65 million price when the company was sold to McKesson in 1996.
Advice to entrepreneurs
- When
establishing your price, talk to customers and others in the know to find
out what Òthe traffic will bear.Ó
- If
you need to sell through channels (like the VARs above), my experience
says that you need to focus your efforts in getting the end user to ÒpullÓ
your product through the channel member. I essence, you will need to do direct selling to prime
the pump. Once the VAR is having some success (albeit because of your
efforts), he will be much more likely to sell your product.
- DonÕt
get so enamored by the brilliance of your pricing strategy that you donÕt
get customer confirmation before you make a company-wide commitment to it.
- Always
challenge conventional wisdom, accepted industry practices, and all other
assumptions. Rarely are they
as firm as you might first think.
- Gross
margin is good.
Frank Demmler
is Associate Teaching Professor of Entrepreneurship at the Donald H. Jones
Center for Entrepreneurship at the Tepper School of Business at Carnegie Mellon
University. Previously he was president & CEO of the Future Fund, general
partner of the Pittsburgh Seed Fund, co-founder & investment advisor to the
Western Pennsylvania Adventure Capital Fund, as well as vice president, venture
development, for The Enterprise Corporation of Pittsburgh. An archive of this
series of articles can be found at my
website.